COP30 – Transitioning away

Catavento deloped an innovative study on the “transitioning away” from oil and gas, aligned with the commitment made by nearly 200 countries during COP28, held in Dubai. The study aimed to support the COP30 Presidency with economic, social, and environmental criteria for this energy transition in producing and consuming countries, fostering reflections and guidelines for the discussions planned for the Conference.

Catavento was the technical lead responsible for conducting the study, employing a comprehensive approach that included desk research, interviews, and roundtables with experts. During the desk research phase, more than 55 reports and 14 academic articles were analyzed, providing updated data and robust analyses on the subject. Additionally, interviews were conducted with executives from the oil and gas sector, academics, and public policy makers from different regions, ensuring the incorporation of diverse perspectives.

Catavento was also responsible for structuring and facilitating two roundtables. These meetings brought together more than 60 specialists from varied profiles and geographies — including the U.S., Europe, Asia, and Latin America — to discuss challenges, opportunities, and possible pathways for a just, orderly, and equitable ‘transitioning away.’

As part of the analysis, 11 countries were studied, selected for their relevance in oil and gas production and consumption: the United States, Canada, Russia, China, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Norway, Germany, Brazil, and Nigeria. These countries were evaluated based on five main dimensions: (i) relevance of the O&G industry; (ii) competitiveness of the O&G industry; (iii) energy security and transition capacity; (iv) emissions profile; and (v) social and institutional resilience.

Based on these dimensions, a categorization of countries into three groups was proposed according to their capacities to carry out the ‘transitioning away’ from O&G: front-runners, movers, and adapters. Detailed results and other analyses are available in the public materials developed within this project:

Full study (link)

Factsheet – key messages (link)

Country dashboard (link)

This study was conducted with support from the Institute for Climate and Society (iCS).